Risk Infrastructure for the
Space Economy
From the factory floor to orbit, Orbital Assurance helps understand, mitigate, and transfer the risks behind the commercial space economy.
Space risk begins long before space — accumulated value sits in clean rooms, test chambers, and transport containers years before ignition.
Explore the risk lifecycle↓Manufacturing
- 01Component failure
- 02Supplier failure
- 03Workmanship defects
- 04Property damage
- 05Equipment failure
- 06Cyber risk
- 07Employee risk
- 08Supply-chain interruption
Insurance should understand the entire mission,
not just the launch.
Orbital Assurance approaches risk as a continuous system.
The risk changes.
The financial exposure remains.
Orbital Risk Lab
Explore how mission architecture changes financial risk. Five open models, built on transparent assumptions.
Satellite Risk Calculator
Illustrative risk model — educational use only. Not an insurance quote, premium indication, or actuarial estimate.
What happens when something small hits something fast?
Energy sufficient to penetrate typical Whipple shielding margins and damage internal components. Partial loss of capability is plausible.
Illustrative risk model — educational use only. Not an insurance quote, premium indication, or actuarial estimate.
What is risk reduction worth?
This is the arithmetic behind shielding, collision avoidance, better testing, redundancy, monitoring, qualification, and independent verification. When a technology moves the probability more than it costs, it creates value for the operator, the underwriter, and the capital behind the mission.
Illustrative risk model — educational use only. Not an insurance quote, premium indication, or actuarial estimate.
How much capital is at risk before launch?
Build a hypothetical spacecraft program and watch the pre-ignition exposure accumulate.
The majority of the capital behind a mission may already be exposed before ignition.
Illustrative risk model — educational use only. Not an insurance quote, premium indication, or actuarial estimate.
Mission Risk Stack
Construct a hypothetical mission and see where relative risk concentrates.
These are relative risk indicators derived from the selected mission characteristics — not actuarial probabilities, loss frequencies, or underwriting outputs.
Illustrative risk model — educational use only. Not an insurance quote, premium indication, or actuarial estimate.
Probability × Severity = Expected Loss
The simplest equation in risk, and the one that governs whether a mission is insurable, at what cost, and on what terms.
The job of risk mitigation is to move the probability.
- →Testing can move it.
- →Redundancy can move it.
- →Better information can move it.
- →Debris protection can move it.
- →Operational intelligence can move it.
- →Verification can move it.
Severity is largely fixed by the physics and the balance sheet. Probability is where engineering, data, and capital actually meet.
A closed loop between underwriting and technology
Insurance gives us a view into where risk exists. Investment gives us exposure to the technologies changing it.
Risk types evolve. The exposure never disappears.
How categories of insurable risk shift as a spacecraft moves from the clean room to disposal.
Orbital Assurance is a brokerage. Capacity is placed and structured with insurers, reinsurers, Lloyd's syndicates, specialty markets, and other providers of risk capital.
Space Risk Data
Open tools and datasets for people who need to reason about space risk quantitatively. Published as they are built — no fabricated data.
Debris Impact Simulator
COMING SOONUnderstand MMOD impact energy across fragment sizes and closing velocities.
Risk Mitigation ROI
COMING SOONCalculate the financial value of reducing loss probability.
Constellation Exposure Calculator
COMING SOONEstimate total asset value exposed across a fleet.
Launch Concentration Calculator
COMING SOONUnderstand how much capital is concentrated into a single launch event.
Launch Reliability Explorer
COMING SOONCompare launch vehicle flight heritage and historical reliability.
Orbital Environment Explorer
COMING SOONUnderstand debris concentration by orbital altitude.
Spacecraft Failure Database
COMING SOONExplore publicly disclosed spacecraft failures and causes.
Space Insurance Loss Tracker
COMING SOONHistorical insured space losses.
Mission Cost Benchmark
COMING SOONCompare approximate mission economics across spacecraft categories.
Understand the risk.
Insure the risk.
Invest in what reduces it.
The long-term opportunity is to build modern risk infrastructure for the commercial space economy — sitting at the intersection of engineering reality and risk capital.
- 01Space risk begins on Earth.
- 02A spacecraft accumulates enormous financial exposure before launch.
- 03Launch is only one component of mission risk.
- 04Orbital debris and other emerging risks require better measurement.
- 05Better technology can reduce expected losses.
- 06Better testing and verification can reduce uncertainty.
- 07Insurance converts technical risk into financial risk.